This paper seeks to explain the causes of volatility clustering in exchange rates. Careful examination of intra-daily exchange rates provides a test of two hypotheses--heat waves and meteor showers. The heat wave hypothesis is that the volatility has only country-specific autocorrelation. Alternatively, the meteor shower is a phenomenon of intra-daily volatility spillovers from one market to the next. Using the GARCH model to specify the heteroskedasticity across intra-daily market segments, we find that the empirical evidence is generally against the null hypothesis of the heat wave. Using a volatility type of vector autoregression we examine the impact of news in one market on the time path of per-hour volatility in other markets.
MLA
Engle, Robert F., et al. “Meteor Showers or Heat Waves? Heteroskedastic Intra-Daily Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market.” Econometrica, vol. 58, .no 3, Econometric Society, 1990, pp. 525-542, https://www.jstor.org/stable/2938189
Chicago
Engle, Robert F., Takatoshi Ito, and Wen-Ling Lin. “Meteor Showers or Heat Waves? Heteroskedastic Intra-Daily Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market.” Econometrica, 58, .no 3, (Econometric Society: 1990), 525-542. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2938189
APA
Engle, R. F., Ito, T., & Lin, W.-L. (1990). Meteor Showers or Heat Waves? Heteroskedastic Intra-Daily Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market. Econometrica, 58(3), 525-542. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2938189
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