We propose new confidence sets (CSs) for the regression discontinuity parameter in fuzzy designs. Our CSs are based on local linear regression, and are bias‐aware, in the sense that they take possible bias explicitly into account. Their construction shares similarities with that of Anderson–Rubin CSs in exactly identified instrumental variable models, and thereby avoids issues with “delta method” approximations that underlie most commonly used existing inference methods for fuzzy regression discontinuity analysis. Our CSs are asymptotically equivalent to existing procedures in canonical settings with strong identification and a continuous running variable. However, they are also valid under a wide range of other empirically relevant conditions, such as setups with discrete running variables, donut designs, and weak identification.
MLA
Noack, Claudia, and Christoph Rothe. “Bias-Aware Inference in Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs.” Econometrica, vol. 92, .no 3, Econometric Society, 2024, pp. 687-711, https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA19466
Chicago
Noack, Claudia, and Christoph Rothe. “Bias-Aware Inference in Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs.” Econometrica, 92, .no 3, (Econometric Society: 2024), 687-711. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA19466
APA
Noack, C., & Rothe, C. (2024). Bias-Aware Inference in Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs. Econometrica, 92(3), 687-711. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA19466
Supplement to "Bias-Aware Inference in Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs"
Claudia Noack and Christoph Rothe
The replication package for this paper is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10724847. The Journal checked the data and codes included in the package for their ability to reproduce the results in the paper and approved online appendices. Given the highly demanding nature of the algorithms, the reproducibility checks were run on a simplified version of the code, which is also available in the replication package.
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