We conduct inference on volatility with noisy high‐frequency data. We assume the observed transaction price follows a continuous‐time Itô‐semimartingale, contaminated by a discrete‐time moving‐average noise process associated with the arrival of trades. We estimate volatility, defined as the quadratic variation of the semimartingale, by maximizing the likelihood of a misspecified moving‐average model, with its order selected based on an information criterion. Our inference is uniformly valid over a large class of noise processes whose magnitude and dependence structure vary with sample size. We show that the convergence rate of our estimator dominates n1/4 as noise vanishes, and is determined by the selected order of noise dependence when noise is sufficiently small. Our implementation guarantees positive estimates in finite samples.
MLA
Da, Rui, and Dacheng Xiu. “When Moving-Average Models Meet High-Frequency Data: Uniform Inference on Volatility.” Econometrica, vol. 89, .no 6, Econometric Society, 2021, pp. 2787-2825, https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA15593
Chicago
Da, Rui, and Dacheng Xiu. “When Moving-Average Models Meet High-Frequency Data: Uniform Inference on Volatility.” Econometrica, 89, .no 6, (Econometric Society: 2021), 2787-2825. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA15593
APA
Da, R., & Xiu, D. (2021). When Moving-Average Models Meet High-Frequency Data: Uniform Inference on Volatility. Econometrica, 89(6), 2787-2825. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA15593
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