Giuseppe Cavaliere|Thomas Mikosch|Anders Rahbek|Frederik Vilandt
Based on the GARCH literature, Engle and Russell (1998) established consistency and asymptotic normality of the QMLE for the autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model, assuming strict stationarity and ergodicity of the durations. Using novel arguments based on renewal process theory, we show that their results hold under the stronger requirement that durations have finite expectation. However, we demonstrate that this is not always the case under the assumption of stationary and ergodic durations. Specifically, we provide a counterexample where the MLE is asymptotically mixed normal and converges at a rate significantly slower than usual. The main difference between ACD and GARCH asymptotics is that the former must account for the number of durations in a given time span being random. As a by‐product, we present a new lemma which can be applied to analyze asymptotic properties of extremum estimators when the number of observations is random.
MLA
Cavaliere, Giuseppe, et al. “A Comment on: “Autoregressive Conditional Duration: A New Model for Irregularly Spaced Transaction Data”.” Econometrica, vol. 93, .no 2, Econometric Society, 2025, pp. 719-729, https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA21896
Chicago
Cavaliere, Giuseppe, Thomas Mikosch, Anders Rahbek, and Frederik Vilandt. “A Comment on: “Autoregressive Conditional Duration: A New Model for Irregularly Spaced Transaction Data”.” Econometrica, 93, .no 2, (Econometric Society: 2025), 719-729. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA21896
APA
Cavaliere, G., Mikosch, T., Rahbek, A., & Vilandt, F. (2025). A Comment on: “Autoregressive Conditional Duration: A New Model for Irregularly Spaced Transaction Data”. Econometrica, 93(2), 719-729. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA21896
Supplement to "A Comment on: “Autoregressive Conditional Duration: A New Model for Irregularly Spaced Transaction Data” "
Giuseppe Cavaliere, Thomas Mikosch, Anders Rahbek, and Frederik Vilandt
The replication package for this paper is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13993686. The Journal checked the data and codes included in the package for their ability to reproduce the results in the paper and approved online appendices.
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