Quantitative Economics
Journal Of The Econometric Society
Edited by: Stéphane Bonhomme • Print ISSN: 1759-7323 • Online ISSN: 1759-7331
Edited by: Stéphane Bonhomme • Print ISSN: 1759-7323 • Online ISSN: 1759-7331
Quantitative Economics: May, 2024, Volume 15, Issue 2
https://doi.org/10.3982/QE2126
p. 489-521
Shunya Noda, Kazuhiro Teramoto
This paper analyzes panic buying of storable consumer products accompanied by disasters, using a novel consumer‐search theoretic equilibrium model where consumers follow (S,s) inventory policies. We show that, even if consumers are fully rational, an anticipated temporary increase in consumer shopping costs (as well as conventional demand and supply shocks) can trigger an upward spiral of hoarding demand and result in serious shortages. Due to congestion externalities, panic buying leads to the misallocation of storable products and substantial welfare loss. The model is calibrated using survey data and reveals that the timing of recognizing the shopping‐cost rise is crucial for the severity of panic buying. Some policy options, such as purchase quotas and future sales‐tax reductions, are suggested to mitigate panic buying.
Shunya Noda and Kazuhiro Teramoto
This supplemental appendix contains material not found within the manuscript.
Shunya Noda and Kazuhiro Teramoto
The replication package for this paper is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10455236. The Journal checked the data and codes included in the package for their ability to reproduce the results in the paper and approved online appendices.
December 4, 2024