Quantitative Economics
Journal Of The Econometric Society
Edited by: Stéphane Bonhomme • Print ISSN: 1759-7323 • Online ISSN: 1759-7331
Edited by: Stéphane Bonhomme • Print ISSN: 1759-7323 • Online ISSN: 1759-7331
Quantitative Economics: Nov, 2024, Volume 15, Issue 4
https://doi.org/10.3982/QE1762
p. 1107-1149
Liyu Dou
This paper considers the problem of deriving heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust (HAR) inference about a scalar parameter of interest. The main assumption is that there is a known upper bound on the degree of persistence in data. I derive finite‐sample optimal tests in the Gaussian location model and show that the robustness‐efficiency tradeoffs embedded in the optimal tests are essentially determined by the maximal persistence. I find that with an appropriate adjustment to the critical value, it is nearly optimal to use the so‐called equal‐weighted cosine (EWC) test, where the long‐run variance is estimated by projections onto q type II cosines. The practical implications are an explicit link between the choice of q and assumptions on the underlying persistence, as well as a corresponding adjustment to the usual Student‐t critical value. I illustrate the results in two empirical examples.
Liyu Dou
The replication package for this paper is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11527191. The Journal checked the data and codes included in the package for their ability to reproduce the results in the paper and approved online appendices.
December 4, 2024